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Red209
999231.9
18856.3
368379.1
Blue127
86529.1
999023.5
447651.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174106050150200250209127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points27
57Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
24Coral scored#14
86Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
136Total teleop83
Reef
14L4#9
8L3#4
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
209Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.10.9
76.977.8
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
red by 27.7
4476
#12
51.40.3
51.952.2
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
Second
188
#4
56.30.9
54.054.9
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 27.2
865
#11
29.10.3
29.629.9
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
9992
#10
31.91.3
28.730.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 8.4
23.50.4
24.224.7
Auto10.1
Teleop8.7
End4.1