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Red187
132575.4
755871.0
906225.6
Blue179
999231.9
18856.3
368379.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182168100150200250187179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave3
8Coral scored#11
38Coral points53
44Total auto56
TeleoperatedRed +8
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
125Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#11
11L3#9
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
187Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.3
73.974.2
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
79.10.2
77.878.0
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
71.00.3
69.669.9
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 14.8
188
#4
56.30.2
54.955.2
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
9062
#14
25.60.3
24.224.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 6.3
9992
#10
31.90.3
30.030.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9