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Red11
85411.9
91915.4
906221.5
Blue63
18843.5
952514.4
765915.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7268203040506080901163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +50
1Coral scored#8
2Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
2Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points0
11Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#19
21.56.4
25.519.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
blue by 22.0
188
#5
43.50.3
23.423.7
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Second
919
#20
15.46.4
17.811.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 0.1
7659
#17
15.50.3
21.021.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
854
#22
11.96.4
19.312.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 2.5
9525
#15
14.40.3
15.615.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed