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Red12
613513.6
96596.3
Blue143
760311.3
755851.6
78147.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699005010015012143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+93
Endgame+107
Fouls+131
AutonomousBlue +29
0Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
0Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +64
2Coral scored#18
6Coral points64
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop74
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#7
0L2#5
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +131
0Foul points24
12Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#21
13.65.9
21.715.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 38.0
51.64.4
32.136.5
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
Second
9.47.5
19.411.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 37.7
781
#6
47.14.4
27.331.7
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
Third
9659
#24
6.35.9
22.516.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 5.0
7603
#26
11.34.4
17.722.1
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned