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Red100
752040.7
131027.6
406930.2
Blue73
885012.1
61048.8
503624.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868840608010012014010073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
75Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
100Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.0
22.624.6
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
blue by 8.1
610
#2
48.80.3
37.537.2
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
Second
30.22.0
28.530.5
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 6.2
24.00.3
21.721.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
1310
#12
27.62.0
25.227.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
red by 15.4
8850
#29
12.10.3
17.016.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed