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Red90
771221.8
1063410.2
888439.4
Blue50
7717.9
86532.7
503120.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8073506070901001109050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+48Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +48
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
71Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
90Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#11
39.42.3
26.028.3
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 6.7
865
#9
32.71.6
28.927.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
21.82.3
25.427.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 1.5
5031
#13
20.31.6
20.318.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Third
10.24.7
15.420.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
red by 2.3
771
#28
7.91.6
15.613.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned