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Red40
978514.2
97827.7
503223.0
Blue99
219815.1
755851.6
926214.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77882040601001201404099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points10
40Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
23.03.2
24.120.9
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 28.7
51.61.4
36.537.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
Second
9785
#25
14.23.2
29.125.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
blue by 1.0
2198
#10
15.11.4
20.421.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Third
9782
#23
7.73.2
15.712.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 6.3
9262
#14
14.01.4
19.520.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned