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Red81
885012.1
752040.7
406930.2
Blue97
18843.5
61048.8
91915.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807940601001208197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
56Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
8Foul points0
81Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.2
24.624.4
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
blue by 8.1
610
#2
48.81.8
37.239.0
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
Second
30.20.2
30.530.3
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
blue by 13.4
188
#5
43.52.7
23.726.5
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Third
8850
#29
12.10.2
16.616.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 3.2
919
#20
15.42.7
11.414.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed