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Red32
926214.0
760311.3
Blue99
771221.8
752040.7
7717.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486602040801001201403299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+71
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +38
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points36
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
10Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
12Foul points8
32Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9262
#14
14.03.1
15.612.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 26.7
40.73.4
24.427.8
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Second
7603
#26
11.33.1
21.017.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 10.5
21.83.4
23.326.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
9.43.1
8.45.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
red by 1.5
771
#28
7.93.4
10.413.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned