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Red33
906221.5
219815.1
952514.4
Blue95
131027.6
503223.0
61048.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710102040801201401603395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+62
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +56
2Coral scored#13
7Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
7Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
8Foul points10
33Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#19
21.53.4
19.115.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
blue by 27.3
610
#2
48.80.1
39.038.9
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
Second
2198
#10
15.13.4
21.818.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
blue by 12.5
1310
#12
27.60.2
27.126.9
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Third
9525
#15
14.43.4
14.911.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 8.6
5032
#16
23.00.2
20.920.6
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned