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Red72
78147.1
613513.6
86532.7
Blue84
888439.4
97827.7
503624.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85672040601001201407284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
45Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
72Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#6
47.10.3
31.731.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 7.6
8884
#11
39.42.4
28.330.7
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Second
865
#9
32.70.3
27.327.0
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
red by 8.7
24.02.4
21.323.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
6135
#21
13.60.3
15.815.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
red by 5.9
9782
#23
7.72.4
12.514.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned