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Red46
85411.9
219815.1
503223.0
Blue54
91915.4
86532.7
96596.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572030407080904654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
22Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points2
46Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
23.01.6
20.619.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 9.8
865
#9
32.70.0
27.026.9
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
2198
#10
15.11.6
18.416.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
blue by 0.3
919
#20
15.40.0
14.114.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
854
#22
11.91.6
9.47.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 5.7
9659
#24
6.30.0
11.311.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed