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Red96
503624.0
978514.2
78147.1
Blue43
1063410.2
906221.5
885012.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884502060801001201401609643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
96Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#6
47.11.2
31.432.6
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 25.5
9062
#19
21.51.4
15.714.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
Second
24.01.2
23.725.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 11.8
8850
#29
12.11.4
16.415.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
9785
#25
14.21.2
21.422.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
red by 4.0
10.21.4
14.813.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed