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Red87
91915.4
78147.1
885012.1
Blue89
765915.5
888439.4
85411.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7052204060801008789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
+2Endgame
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
66Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points6
87Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#6
47.12.4
35.137.5
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 7.6
8884
#11
39.43.6
30.233.8
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Second
919
#20
15.42.4
11.814.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 0.1
7659
#17
15.53.6
15.519.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
8850
#29
12.12.4
16.418.8
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 0.2
854
#22
11.93.6
5.38.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed