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Red94
61048.8
926214.0
86532.7
Blue48
1063410.2
503624.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894402060801001201409448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+68Teleop
+64Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
15Coral scored#3
55Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
69Total teleop15
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#2
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points18
94Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.81.1
41.142.2
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 24.9
24.01.8
26.724.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Second
865
#9
32.71.8
25.727.5
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
red by 22.5
10.21.8
12.010.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Third
9262
#14
14.01.8
11.112.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 4.6
9.41.8
7.25.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed