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Red23
978514.2
926214.0
85411.9
Blue43
613513.6
503120.3
219815.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801002343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points14
23Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9785
#25
14.21.8
17.115.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
blue by 6.1
5031
#13
20.32.4
19.817.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
9262
#14
14.01.8
12.911.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 1.1
2198
#10
15.12.4
19.116.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Third
854
#22
11.91.8
8.97.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 1.7
6135
#21
13.62.4
12.19.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed