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Red33
7717.9
503223.0
885012.1
Blue142
18843.5
78147.1
131027.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479602040608012014033142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+93
Endgame+103
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave3
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +62
4Coral scored#19
13Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
19Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#11
1L3#4
1L2#6
0L1 · trough#5
5Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
2Foul points8
33Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
23.02.1
22.720.5
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 24.1
781
#6
47.15.4
37.542.9
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
Second
8850
#29
12.12.1
18.816.7
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 31.4
188
#5
43.55.4
26.531.9
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Third
771
#28
7.92.1
8.56.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 19.7
1310
#12
27.65.4
21.326.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned