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Red90
86532.7
771221.8
906221.5
Blue66
760311.3
952514.4
888439.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72612040801001209066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
71Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points0
90Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#9
32.72.3
27.529.8
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
blue by 6.7
8884
#11
39.41.0
36.537.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Second
21.82.3
20.823.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 7.4
9525
#15
14.41.0
7.98.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
9062
#19
21.52.3
15.417.6
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
red by 10.2
7603
#26
11.31.0
12.813.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed