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Red113
755851.6
131027.6
503120.3
Blue112
61048.8
85411.9
78147.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841014060120140160113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#20
46Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
78Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
113Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.63.5
37.040.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 2.8
610
#2
48.81.3
42.243.5
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
Second
1310
#12
27.63.5
26.730.2
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
blue by 19.5
781
#6
47.12.2
42.945.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
Third
5031
#13
20.33.5
17.420.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 8.3
854
#22
11.92.2
7.19.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed