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Red76
885012.1
18843.5
Blue33
926214.0
7717.9
97827.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6224040801001207633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
12Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
54Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#0
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points18
76Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#5
43.52.2
31.934.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
red by 29.5
9262
#14
14.01.4
11.29.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Second
8850
#29
12.12.2
16.718.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 4.3
771
#28
7.91.4
6.45.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Third
9.42.2
5.57.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
red by 1.7
9782
#23
7.71.4
9.78.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed