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Red97
755851.6
771221.8
61048.8
Blue42
131027.6
91915.4
219815.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195601001509742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
60Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points6
97Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.1
40.639.5
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 24.1
1310
#12
27.62.7
30.227.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
610
#2
48.80.7
43.542.8
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 33.4
919
#20
15.42.7
16.413.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
21.81.1
23.122.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 6.7
2198
#10
15.12.7
14.912.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned