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Red59
503120.3
85411.9
96596.3
Blue38
906221.5
978514.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434410203040506070805938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
30Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
16Foul points10
59Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#13
20.30.3
20.921.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 1.2
9062
#19
21.51.1
17.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
Second
854
#22
11.90.3
9.39.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 2.2
9785
#25
14.21.1
13.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Third
9659
#24
6.30.3
9.910.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 3.1
9.41.1
7.76.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed