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Red82
888439.4
7717.9
406930.2
Blue83
503223.0
18843.5
503624.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778340601001208283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
67Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
82Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#11
39.40.8
37.538.3
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
blue by 4.1
188
#5
43.50.3
34.134.4
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Second
30.20.8
31.832.6
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 6.2
24.00.3
24.424.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
771
#28
7.90.8
5.15.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 15.1
5032
#16
23.00.3
19.820.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned