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Red101
97827.7
752040.7
755851.6
Blue72
78147.1
1063410.2
131027.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86876070809010011012010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +21
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
67Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
101Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.9
39.541.4
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 4.6
781
#6
47.11.1
45.144.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
Second
40.72.0
33.835.8
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 13.2
1310
#12
27.61.0
27.626.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Third
9782
#23
7.72.0
8.310.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 2.5
10.21.1
9.58.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed