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Red86
406930.2
18843.5
978514.2
Blue125
906221.5
888439.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876220408010012014086125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +28
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
59Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points22
86Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#5
43.50.1
34.434.5
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
red by 4.1
8884
#11
39.43.4
38.341.7
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Second
30.20.1
32.632.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 8.7
9062
#19
21.53.4
16.519.9
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
Third
9785
#25
14.20.1
12.412.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
red by 4.8
9.43.4
6.510.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed