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Red81
760311.3
96596.3
61048.8
Blue47
765915.5
885012.1
503120.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715902040801001208147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+38Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#7
58Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
76Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
81Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.80.7
42.843.6
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 28.6
5031
#13
20.30.9
21.220.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
7603
#26
11.31.1
11.012.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 4.2
7659
#17
15.50.9
19.118.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
9659
#24
6.31.1
10.211.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 5.9
8850
#29
12.10.9
16.215.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed