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Red95
752040.7
1063410.2
219815.1
Blue26
97827.7
926214.0
91915.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801009526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
67Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
10Foul points2
95Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.2
35.838.0
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 25.3
919
#20
15.41.2
13.812.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Second
2198
#10
15.12.2
12.314.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 1.1
9262
#14
14.01.2
12.411.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
10.22.2
8.410.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
red by 2.5
9782
#23
7.71.2
10.39.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed