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Red95
78147.1
219815.1
97827.7
Blue39
771221.8
885012.1
85411.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744902040601001201409539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
62Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
4Foul points2
95Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#6
47.11.7
42.143.8
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 25.3
21.81.4
20.919.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Second
2198
#10
15.11.7
14.416.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 3.0
8850
#29
12.11.4
15.213.8
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
9782
#23
7.71.7
9.110.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 4.2
854
#22
11.91.4
11.39.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed