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Red62
765915.5
131027.6
Blue50
406930.2
1063410.2
613513.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545702040801001201406250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
37Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
62Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#12
27.60.4
25.626.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
blue by 2.6
30.20.7
32.732.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Second
7659
#17
15.50.4
15.115.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
red by 1.9
6135
#21
13.60.7
8.67.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Third
9.40.5
10.010.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 0.8
10.20.7
11.110.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed