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Qual 502025 ONT District Centennial College Event
Red132
906221.5
752040.7
18843.5
Blue117
86532.7
755851.6
888439.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001296080120140160180200132117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
98Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#6
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
4Foul points0
132Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#5
43.52.5
36.1→38.6
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
blue by 8.1
7558
#1
51.60.2
46.0→45.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
Second
7520
#3
40.72.5
40.3→42.9
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 1.3
8884
#11
39.40.2
38.7→38.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Third
9062
#19
21.52.5
20.8→23.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End0.4
blue by 11.2
865
#9
32.70.2
34.3→34.1
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned