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Red24
96596.3
885012.1
97827.7
Blue126
61048.8
952514.4
978514.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083020406010012014016024126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+66
Endgame+66
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +56
1Coral scored#11
2Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
2Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
12Foul points48
24Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8850
#29
12.11.7
13.812.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 36.7
610
#2
48.80.6
44.044.6
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
Second
9782
#23
7.71.7
10.89.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 6.6
9525
#15
14.40.7
12.212.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
9659
#24
6.31.7
8.26.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 7.9
9785
#25
14.20.7
13.113.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned