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Red50
91915.4
503120.3
503223.0
Blue78
78147.1
771221.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648320401001201405078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
37Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
50Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
23.01.0
23.822.8
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 24.1
781
#6
47.10.3
43.844.2
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
Second
5031
#13
20.31.0
20.919.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 1.5
21.80.3
19.519.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
919
#20
15.41.0
17.216.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 6.0
9.40.3
10.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed