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Red119
926214.0
888439.4
18843.5
Blue61
96596.3
131027.6
952514.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10341020608012014016011961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+72Teleop
+70Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +58
15Coral scored#3
55Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
77Total teleop19
Reef
9L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
8Foul points20
119Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#5
43.51.5
38.640.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
red by 16.0
1310
#12
27.60.3
26.125.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
8884
#11
39.41.5
38.540.0
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 25.1
9525
#15
14.40.3
12.912.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
9262
#14
14.01.7
13.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 7.7
9659
#24
6.30.3
6.56.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed