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Red112
85411.9
613513.6
755851.6
Blue75
86532.7
760311.3
752040.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691012040608012014016011275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
57Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
16Foul points6
112Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.62.4
45.948.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 10.9
40.71.5
42.941.3
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Second
6135
#21
13.62.4
7.910.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 19.1
865
#9
32.71.5
34.132.6
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Third
854
#22
11.92.4
10.012.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 0.6
7603
#26
11.31.5
12.811.3
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed