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Red89
888439.4
91915.4
752040.7
Blue86
771221.8
131027.6
952514.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102612040801201401608986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
60Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
89Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.039.9
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 13.2
1310
#12
27.60.5
27.127.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
8884
#11
39.40.1
38.838.7
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
red by 17.7
21.80.5
21.321.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
919
#20
15.40.1
14.714.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 1.0
9525
#15
14.40.5
13.914.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8