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Red136
18843.5
755851.6
613513.6
Blue73
503624.0
86532.7
926214.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146940608010014016018020013673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+65Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
101Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
136Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.6
49.349.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 18.9
865
#9
32.70.1
32.432.5
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
188
#5
43.50.6
41.241.8
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
red by 19.5
24.00.1
23.723.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
6135
#21
13.60.6
11.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 0.4
9262
#14
14.00.1
13.713.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8