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Red126
7717.9
61048.8
78147.1
Blue74
888439.4
91915.4
752040.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910170809011012013014012674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +47
18Coral scored#7
64Coral points25
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
92Total teleop45
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points2
126Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.80.7
45.245.9
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 8.1
40.70.5
40.540.0
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Second
781
#6
47.10.7
43.444.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 7.6
8884
#11
39.40.5
39.338.8
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Third
771
#28
7.90.7
4.25.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 7.5
919
#20
15.40.5
15.214.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5