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Red92
503230.7
356018.8
1027921.2
Blue124
497647.0
978537.5
401515.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575820408010012092124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+52
Endgame+56
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
53Total teleop97
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
24Foul points0
92Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
23.023.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
blue by 16.3
47.04.1
25.429.5
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Second
21.20.1
12.012.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 16.3
37.54.1
14.218.3
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
Third
3560
#28
18.80.1
17.117.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 3.7
4015
#27
15.14.1
10.614.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed