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Red87
672528.8
85419.0
293544.5
Blue76
1063415.4
978215.9
1002719.1
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67260501001502008776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+39Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points30
87Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.8
25.328.2
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 25.4
19.10.8
9.410.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Second
28.82.8
17.019.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
red by 12.9
9782
#12
15.90.8
7.78.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Third
854
#6
19.01.7
11.913.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 3.6
15.40.8
10.211.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned3%Barge oddsMissed