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Red67
885021.6
356018.8
672528.8
Blue67
492031.5
401515.1
956215.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526402040801001201401606767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
67Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
blue by 2.8
4920
#11
31.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
Second
8850
#14
21.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
red by 5.8
9562
#21
15.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
3560
#28
18.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 3.7
4015
#27
15.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed