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Red89
755860.9
663220.3
1063415.4
Blue104
978537.5
571923.2
503230.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8763020408010012014016089104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
52Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
89Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.5
50.450.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 23.4
37.52.5
16.719.2
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
Second
6632
#25
20.30.9
18.319.2
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
blue by 10.4
30.72.5
21.924.4
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Third
15.40.5
9.510.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
blue by 7.8
5719
#20
23.22.5
21.524.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed