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Red38
957519.9
430827.0
926218.5
Blue96
293544.5
885021.6
497647.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508302040601001201401603896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+60
Endgame+62
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points17
14Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
16Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points2
38Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#19
27.02.1
21.519.3
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 20.0
47.01.5
29.330.8
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Second
9575
#24
19.91.3
16.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 24.6
44.52.5
30.533.0
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
Third
9262
#10
18.51.3
13.312.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 3.1
8850
#14
21.61.5
11.312.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed