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Red73
697518.2
492031.5
1002719.1
Blue81
978215.9
639717.3
752052.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547102040801001201407381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
55Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points2
73Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#11
31.51.1
25.526.6
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
blue by 21.3
52.80.7
40.441.1
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
Second
19.10.7
11.712.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
red by 1.9
6397
#17
17.30.7
15.115.8
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Third
6975
#22
18.21.1
13.814.9
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 2.4
9782
#12
15.90.7
7.98.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed