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Red110
497647.0
965916.8
672528.8
Blue46
713617.8
978215.9
571923.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6449020408010012011046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
74Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
8Foul points0
110Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.02.6
33.235.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
red by 23.8
5719
#20
23.20.8
22.521.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Second
28.84.3
16.020.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
red by 11.0
7136
#26
17.81.3
14.112.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Third
9659
#16
16.82.6
5.58.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
red by 1.0
9782
#12
15.90.8
9.38.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed