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Red36
263429.5
956215.8
663220.3
Blue91
755860.9
1027921.2
1002719.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668502040601001201403691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
27Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points12
36Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#18
29.52.7
25.022.2
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
blue by 31.4
60.90.3
50.450.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
Second
6632
#25
20.32.7
16.513.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
blue by 1.0
21.20.3
12.512.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
9562
#21
15.82.7
19.116.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 3.4
19.10.3
11.611.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned