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Red100
752052.8
697518.2
356018.8
Blue52
316141.6
85419.0
957519.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79610204010012014016010052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
75Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#2
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
100Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.82.0
40.542.5
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
red by 11.2
3161
#15
41.60.8
28.127.4
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
Second
3560
#28
18.83.3
12.115.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
blue by 1.1
9575
#24
19.90.5
17.316.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Third
6975
#22
18.23.3
17.420.8
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 0.7
854
#6
19.00.5
13.412.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed