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Red49
885021.6
639717.3
492031.5
Blue67
293544.5
503230.7
926218.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5683020401001201401604967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
36Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
49Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#11
31.51.4
25.624.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
blue by 13.0
44.53.0
35.532.5
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
Second
8850
#14
21.60.9
12.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
blue by 9.2
30.71.8
25.223.4
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Third
6397
#17
17.30.9
16.215.4
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 1.2
9262
#10
18.51.8
12.510.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed