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Red94
430827.0
978215.9
755860.9
Blue56
401515.1
672528.8
1027921.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93500204060801001201409456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points31
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
57Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
94Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.7
50.751.4
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 32.2
28.80.1
20.220.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
4308
#19
27.01.2
19.220.4
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 5.8
21.20.1
12.812.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
9782
#12
15.90.7
8.59.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
red by 0.8
4015
#27
15.10.1
13.813.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed