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Red91
85419.0
957519.9
752052.8
Blue125
571923.2
1002719.1
497647.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76775060709010011012091125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points32
30Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
55Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
91Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.9
42.543.4
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
red by 5.9
47.03.3
35.739.0
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Second
9575
#24
19.90.9
16.917.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 3.3
5719
#20
23.23.3
21.725.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Third
854
#6
19.00.9
12.913.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 0.1
19.13.3
11.915.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed