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Red124
503230.7
663220.3
713617.8
Blue53
639717.3
1063415.4
697518.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5750010015012453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+11Endgame
+71Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
55Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
60Foul points0
124Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
23.424.3
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
red by 12.5
6975
#22
18.20.8
20.821.5
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Second
6632
#25
20.31.6
13.815.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 3.0
6397
#17
17.30.5
15.415.9
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Third
7136
#26
17.81.6
12.714.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 2.4
15.40.5
9.910.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed